Research 2000 North Dakota Poll

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    The Research 2000 North Dakota Poll was conducted for the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for America and Credo Action from February 19 through February 20, 2010. A total of 600 likely general election voters in 2010 were interviewed statewide by telephone.

    Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

    The margin of error is 4%.

    (Research 2000 also does polling for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Lexington Herald-Leader, Fort Wayne News Sentinel, South Bend Tribune, and Reno Gazette-Journal, and dozens of other media outlets.)


    Men: 289 (48%)
    Women: 311 (52%)
    Democrats: 181 (30%)
    Republicans: 227 (38%)
    Independents/Other: 192 (32%)
    Obama Voters: 251 (42%)


    • Support for Senate bill: 31% favor, 63% oppose (29% support among Independents)
    • Support for public option: 57% support, 35% oppose (63% support among Independents)
    • Bill with public option vs. bipartisan bill: 55% of Independents want public option, 29% bipartisan
    • By 3 to 1, voters want Dorgan and Conrad to fight harder for the public option.
    • 66% of Independent voters in North Dakota support reconciliation on a good bill.
    QUESTION: What would make you more likely to vote for Democrats in the 2010 elections: If they pass health care reform that includes a public health insurance option but gets zero Republican votes OR if they pass health care reform without a public option but with some Republican votes?
    ALL 48%38%14%
    MEN 44%43%13%
    WOMEN 52%33%15%
    DEMOCRATS 84%8%8%
    REPUBLICANS 14%69%17%
    INDEPENDENTS 55%29%16%
    OBAMA VOTERS 73%15%12%
    QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill passed in December by the U.S. Senate?
    ALL 31%63%6%
    MEN 28%67%5%
    WOMEN 34%59%7%
    DEMOCRATS 65%31%4%
    REPUBLICANS 5%88%7%
    INDEPENDENTS 29%64%7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 56%33%11%
    QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of buying into a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
    ALL 57%35%8%
    MEN 53%41%6%
    WOMEN 61%29%10%
    DEMOCRATS 85%10%5%
    REPUBLICANS 30%56%14%
    INDEPENDENTS 63%33%4%
    OBAMA VOTERS 74%14%12%
    QUESTION: Do you think Senator Dorgan should fight harder for a public health insurance option to compete head-to-head with private insurance?
    ALL 39%18%43%
    MEN 36%20%44%
    WOMEN 42%16%42%
    DEMOCRATS 73%12%15%
    REPUBLICANS 8%25%67%
    INDEPENDENTS 44%16%40%
    OBAMA VOTERS 68%14%18%
    QUESTION: Do you think Senator Conrad should fight harder for a public health insurance option to compete head-to-head with private insurance?
    ALL 41%17%42%
    MEN 37%20%43%
    WOMEN 45%14%41%
    DEMOCRATS 77%12%11%
    REPUBLICANS 8%24%68%
    INDEPENDENTS 46%13%41%
    OBAMA VOTERS 69%14%17%
    QUESTION: The White House has announced that they will soon propose a revised health care plan to Congress. If Byron Dorgan calls on the White House to include a public option in their plan, will that make you respect him more, respect him less, or no change?
    ALL 31%15%54%
    MEN 28%19%53%
    WOMEN 34%11%55%
    DEMOCRATS 65%9%26%
    REPUBLICANS 5%21%74%
    INDEPENDENTS 30%13%57%
    OBAMA VOTERS 56%16%28%
    QUESTION: What do you believe private health insurance companies care about more: the health of patients, or making a profit?
    ALL 76%14%10%
    MEN 72%16%12%
    WOMEN 80%12%8%
    DEMOCRATS 85%6%9%
    REPUBLICANS 71%22%7%
    INDEPENDENTS 74%13%13%
    OBAMA VOTERS 79%15%6%
    It's been widely reported that Democrats had well over a majority of the Senate committed to voting for a public health insurance option last year. But the public option was removed from consideration in an attempt to get a super-majority of 60 votes needed to overcome a Republican filibuster. Now, Senate Democrats will likely use a procedure called "reconciliation" -- which only needs a simple majority -- to pass the final elements of health care reform.
    QUESTION: If Senate Democrats use "reconciliation" to pass the final elements of health care reform with a simple majority, should Senators Byron Dorgan and Kent Conrad fight to include a public health insurance option in the bill?
    ALL 34%21%45%
    MEN 31%25%44%
    WOMEN 37%17%46%
    DEMOCRATS 72%8%20%
    REPUBLICANS 5%32%63%
    INDEPENDENTS 33%20%47%
    OBAMA VOTERS 64%11%25%
    QUESTION: If the Senate passes a health care reform bill that you consider to be beneficial to your family, would you object to the Senate's use of "reconciliation" rules to pass that bill with a majority vote, or not?
    ALL 53%36%11%
    MEN 49%39%12%
    WOMEN 57%33%10%
    DEMOCRATS 85%8%7%
    REPUBLICANS 17%72%11%
    INDEPENDENTS 66%20%14%
    OBAMA VOTERS 78%11%11%