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The Research 2000 Nevada Poll was conducted for the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for America, and Credo Action from February 9 through February 10, 2010. A total of 600 likely general election voters in 2010 were interviewed statewide by telephone. The margin of error is 4%.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
(Research 2000 also does polling for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Lexington Herald-Leader, Fort Wayne News Sentinel, South Bend Tribune, and Reno Gazette-Journal, and dozens of other media outlets.)
SAMPLE FIGURES
Men 289 (48%)
Women 311 (52%)
Democrats 265 (44%)
Republicans 235 (39%)
Independents 100 (17%)
White 475 (79%)
Latino 67 (11%)
Black 49 (8%)
Other 9 (2%)
Obama Voters 317 (53%)
| QUESTION: If election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Harry Reid, the Democrat, and Danny Tarkanian, the Republican? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARKANIAN | REID | UNDECIDED | |||||||
| ALL | 54% | 40% | 6% | ||||||
| MEN | 60% | 36% | 4% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 48% | 44% | 8% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 21% | 73% | 6% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 89% | 5% | 6% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 59% | 34% | 7% | ||||||
| WHITE | 62% | 34% | 4% | ||||||
| LATINO | 32% | 57% | 11% | ||||||
| BLACK | 6% | 74% | 20% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 35% | 56% | 9% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 1 | 47% | 48% | 5% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 2 | 63% | 31% | 6% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 3 | 53% | 41% | 6% | ||||||
| QUESTION: If election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Harry Reid, the Democrat, and Sue Lowden, the Republican? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOWDEN | REID | UNDECIDED | |||||||
| ALL | 53% | 39% | 8% | ||||||
| MEN | 60% | 36% | 4% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 46% | 42% | 12% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 20% | 72% | 8% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 88% | 5% | 7% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 58% | 32% | 10% | ||||||
| WHITE | 61% | 33% | 6% | ||||||
| LATINO | 31% | 56% | 13% | ||||||
| BLACK | 6% | 73% | 21% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 34% | 55% | 11% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 1 | 45% | 47% | 8% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 2 | 63% | 30% | 7% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 3 | 52% | 40% | 8% | ||||||
| QUESTION: Would you be more or less likely to vote for Harry Reid this year if he fought for and WON a public health insurance option that competes head-to-head with private insurance, or would it have no real effect on your decision to vote? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORE | LESS | NO EFFECT | |||||||
| ALL | 34% | 15% | 51% | ||||||
| UNDECIDED VOTERS VS TARK | 44% | 11% | 45% | ||||||
| UNDECIDED VOTERS VS LOWD | 45% | 11% | 44% | ||||||
| TARK VOTERS | 22% | 23% | 55% | ||||||
| LOWD VOTERS | 21% | 24% | 55% | ||||||
| MEN | 30% | 18% | 52% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 38% | 12% | 50% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 52% | 6% | 42% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 13% | 27% | 60% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 37% | 11% | 52% | ||||||
| WHITE | 32% | 17% | 51% | ||||||
| LATINO | 41% | 8% | 51% | ||||||
| BLACK | 45% | 5% | 50% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 42% | 11% | 47% | ||||||
| QUESTION: Generally speaking do you think President Obama and Democrats in Washington, DC are delivering enough on the change Obama promised America during the campaign? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | YES | NOT SURE | |||||||
| ALL | 53% | 29% | 18% | ||||||
| MEN | 57% | 26% | 17% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 49% | 32% | 19% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 37% | 52% | 11% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 70% | 6% | 24% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 55% | 21% | 24% | ||||||
| WHITE | 57% | 25% | 18% | ||||||
| LATIONO | 40% | 42% | 18% | ||||||
| BLACK | 35% | 48% | 17% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 42% | 46% | 12% | ||||||
| QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill passed in December by the U.S. Senate? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE | |||||||
| ALL | 34% | 58% | 8% | ||||||
| MEN | 31% | 62% | 7% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 37% | 54% | 9% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 61% | 27% | 12% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 8% | 87% | 5% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 32% | 61% | 7% | ||||||
| WHITE | 30% | 64% | 6% | ||||||
| LATINO | 50% | 35% | 15% | ||||||
| BLACK | 57% | 28% | 15% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 46% | 44% | 10% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 1 | 43% | 50% | 7% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 2 | 27% | 65% | 8% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 3 | 31% | 59% | 10% | ||||||
| QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of buying into a government administered health insurance plan – something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get – that would compete with private health insurance plans? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE | |||||||
| ALL | 56% | 38% | 6% | ||||||
| MEN | 52% | 43% | 5% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 60% | 33% | 7% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 88% | 10% | 2% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 18% | 71% | 11% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 61% | 35% | 4% | ||||||
| WHITE | 50% | 44% | 6% | ||||||
| LATINO | 74% | 17% | 9% | ||||||
| BLACK | 83% | 11% | 6% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 75% | 13% | 12% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 1 | 64% | 32% | 4% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 2 | 48% | 45% | 7% | ||||||
| DISTRICT 3 | 57% | 37% | 6% | ||||||
| QUESTION: What would make you more likely to vote for Democrats in the 2010 elections: If they pass health care reform that includes a public health insurance option but gets zero Republicans votes OR if they pass health care reform without a public option but with some Republican votes? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPTION | GOP VOTES | NOT SURE | |||||||
| ALL | 53% | 40% | 7% | ||||||
| MEN | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 57% | 35% | 8% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 89% | 8% | 3% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 11% | 80% | 9% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 56% | 33% | 11% | ||||||
| WHITE | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||||||
| LATINO | 74% | 20% | 6% | ||||||
| BLACK | 81% | 12% | 7% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 77% | 11% | 12% | ||||||
| It's been widely reported that as Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid had well over a majority of the Senate committed to voting for a public health insurance option last year. But the public option was removed from consideration in an attempt to get a super-majority of 60 votes needed to overcome a Republican filibuster. Now, Senate Democrats will likely use a procedure called "reconciliation" – which only needs a simple majority – to pass the final elements of health care reform. | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QUESTION: If Senate Democrats use "reconciliation" to pass the final elements of health care reform with a simple majority, should Harry Reid include a public health insurance option in the bill? | |||||||||
| YES | NO | NOT SURE | |||||||
| ALL | 52% | 41% | 7% | ||||||
| MEN | 47% | 45% | 8% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 57% | 37% | 6% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 88% | 8% | 4% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 8% | 82% | 10% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 58% | 33% | 9% | ||||||
| WHITE | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||||||
| LATINO | 78% | 16% | 6% | ||||||
| BLACK | 83% | 7% | 10% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 73% | 16% | 11% | ||||||
| QUESTION: If the Senate passes a health care reform bill that you consider to be beneficial to your family, would you object to the Senate's use of "reconciliation" rules to pass that bill with a majority vote, or not? | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO OBJECTION | YES OBJECT | NOT SURE | |||||||
| ALL | 55% | 36% | 9% | ||||||
| MEN | 51% | 40% | 9% | ||||||
| WOMEN | 59% | 32% | 9% | ||||||
| DEMOCRATS | 91% | 7% | 2% | ||||||
| REPUBLICANS | 10% | 74% | 16% | ||||||
| INDEPENDENTS | 64% | 23% | 13% | ||||||
| WHITE | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||||||
| LATINO | 81% | 11% | 8% | ||||||
| BLACK | 87% | 6% | 7% | ||||||
| OBAMA VOTERS | 77% | 10% | 13% | ||||||