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The Research 2000 Massachusetts Poll was conducted for three organizations -- the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for America, and MoveOn.org -- on Tuesday, January 19, 2010 after polls closed in the special election for Senate.
500 Obama voters who did NOT vote in the special election were asked one set of questions. 500 Obama voters who DID vote -- and voted for Republican Scott Brown -- were asked another set of questions. Each has a margin of error of 4.5%.
2774 Obama voters from 2008 who voted Tuesday were reached -- of which 2274 (82%) voted for Democrat Martha Coakley and 500 (18%) voted against her.
(Research 2000 also
does polling for the St.
Louis Post-Dispatch, Lexington
Herald-Leader, Fort
Wayne News Sentinel, South
Bend Tribune, and Reno
Gazette-Journal, and dozens of other media outlets. They did a Virginia 2009 post-election poll of Obama voters for the PCCC, which is located here. )
Sample Figures
OBAMA VOTERS WHO VOTED FOR SCOTT BROWN:
Men: 271 (54%)
Women: 229 (46%)
Democrats: 36 (7%)
Republicans: 41 (8%)
Independents: 423 (85%)
OBAMA VOTERS WHO DID NOT VOTE:
Men: 254 (51%)
Women: 246 (49%)
Democrats: 447 (89%)
Republicans: 19 (4%)
Independents: 34 (7%)
DEMOCRATS LEARNING WRONG LESSON FROM MASSACHUSETTS?
EVEN SCOTT BROWN VOTERS WANT THE PUBLIC OPTION, WANT DEMOCRATS TO BE BOLDER
"In an election between Scott Brown and the public option, the public option would have won."
– Charles Chamberlain, political director of Democracy for America
HEALTH CARE BILL OPPONENTS THINK IT "DOESN'T GO FAR ENOUGH"
- by 3 to 2 among Obama voters who voted for Brown
- by 6 to 1 among Obama voters who stayed home
(18% of Obama supporters who voted supported Brown.)
VOTERS OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORT THE PUBLIC OPTION
- 82% of Obama voters who voted for Brown
- 86% of Obama voters who stayed home
OBAMA VOTERS WANT DEMOCRATS TO BE BOLDER
- 57% of Brown voters say Obama "not delivering enough" on change he promised
- 49% to 37% among voters who stayed home
PLUS: Obama voters overwhelming want bold economic populism from Democrats in 2010.
OBAMA VOTERS WHO VOTED BROWN
| QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
|
| | FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
82% |
14% |
4% |
| MEN |
79% |
18% |
3%
|
| WOMEN |
85% |
10% |
5%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
89% |
7% |
4%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
68% |
24% |
8%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
83% |
13% |
4%
|
| QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform proposal recently passed by the U.S. Senate?
|
| | FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
32% |
48% |
20% |
| MEN |
29% |
52% |
19% |
| WOMEN |
35% |
44% |
21%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
42% |
46% |
12%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
11% |
68% |
21%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
33% |
47% |
20%
|
| QUESTION: If oppose, do you think it goes too far or doesn't go far enough?
|
| | NOT ENOUGH | TOO FAR | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
36% |
23% |
41% |
| MEN |
34% |
26% |
40% |
| WOMEN |
38% |
20% |
42%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
49% |
18% |
33%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
11% |
61% |
28%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
38% |
20% |
42% |
| QUESTION: Generally speaking do you think Barack Obama and Democrats in Washington, DC are delivering enough on the change Obama promised to bring to America during the campaign?
|
| | YES | NO | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
31% |
57% |
12% |
| MEN |
30% |
60% |
10% |
| WOMEN |
32% |
54% |
14%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
36% |
55% |
9%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
6% |
69% |
25%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
33% |
56% |
11%
|
| QUESTION: Generally speaking, do you think Democrats in Washington, DC are fighting hard enough to challenge the Republican policies of the Bush years, aren't fighting hard enough to change those policies, or are fighting about right?
|
| | NOT ENOUGH | TOO HARD | ABOUT RIGHT | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
37% |
15% |
21% |
27% |
| MEN |
34% |
19% |
18% |
29% |
| WOMEN |
40% |
11% |
24% |
25%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
45% |
8% |
35% |
12%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
12% |
47% |
5% |
36%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
39% |
13% |
21% |
27%
|
| QUESTION: Is the issue of national health care reform very important, somewhat important, or not important when deciding how or if to vote?
|
| | VERY | SOME | NOT | NOT SURE
|
| | |
| ALL |
32% |
35% |
13% |
20% |
| MEN |
30% |
34% |
15% |
21% |
| WOMEN |
34% |
36% |
11% |
19%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
37% |
41% |
7% |
15%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
25% |
28% |
25% |
22%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
32% |
35% |
12% |
21%
|
| QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose requiring all Americans to buy health insurance from private companies -- the so-called mandate -- even if they find insurance too expensive or do not want it?
|
| | FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
30% |
59% |
11% |
| MEN |
32% |
57% |
11% |
| WOMEN |
34% |
53% |
13%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
38% |
51% |
11%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
9% |
82% |
9%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
31% |
58% |
11%
|
| QUESTION: Is the issue of the economy very important, somewhat important, or not important when deciding how or if to vote?
|
| | VERY | SOME | NOT VERY | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
48% |
47% |
3% |
2% |
| MEN |
50% |
46% |
3% |
1% |
| WOMEN |
46% |
48% |
3% |
3%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
51% |
44% |
2% |
3%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
37% |
50% |
7% |
6%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
49% |
47% |
3% |
1%
|
| QUESTION: Which candidate in Tuesday's special election for Senate did a better job of representing you and your family on economic issues: Republican Scott Brown or Democrat Martha Coakley ?
|
| | COAKLEY | BROWN | NEITHER
|
| ALL |
13% |
25% |
62%
|
| MEN |
10% |
29% |
61%
|
| WOMEN |
16% |
21% |
63%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
16% |
17% |
67%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
6% |
42% |
52%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
13% |
24% |
63%
|
| QUESTION: If the Democratic Congress passed a bill that laid down stronger rules of the road for Wall Street and cut bonuses for the executives of companies that received government bailouts, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote Democratic in the 2010 general election?
|
| | MORE | LESS | NO AFFECT
|
| ALL |
53% |
14% |
33% |
| MEN |
50% |
15% |
35% |
| WOMEN |
56% |
13% |
31%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
61% |
7% |
32%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
21% |
27% |
52%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
55% |
13% |
32%
|
| QUESTION: What would do more to improve our nation's economic conditions: Decreasing government spending OR tightening government regulation of Wall Street and corporate executives?
|
| | TIGHTEN | DECREASE | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
43% |
25% |
32% |
| MEN |
40% |
29% |
31%
|
| WOMEN |
46% |
21% |
33%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
54% |
21% |
25%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
21% |
56% |
23%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
44% |
23% |
33%
|
I'm going to read you several pairs of statements and would like for you to tell us which comes closest to your point of view.
QUESTION: Democrats in Washington are more on my side than on the side of the lobbyists and special interests, OR
Democrats in Washington are more on the side of the lobbyists and special interests than on the side of people like me.
|
| | LOBBYISTS | MY SIDE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
47% |
23% |
30% |
| MEN |
49% |
20% |
31% |
| WOMEN |
45% |
26% |
29%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
46% |
29% |
25%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
35% |
9% |
56%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
48% |
24% |
28%
|
QUESTION: When Democrats took power, they really changed things in Washington, OR
When Democrats took power, they didn't change much about how Washington works.
|
| | NO CHANGE | CHANGE | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
52% |
23% |
25% |
| MEN |
56% |
21% |
23% |
| WOMEN |
48% |
25% |
27%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
49% |
29% |
22%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
57% |
5% |
38%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
52% |
24% |
24%
|
QUESTION: Democrats economic policy is more focused on helping Wall Street than helping main street, OR
Democrats' economic policy is more focused on helping Main Street than helping wall street.
|
| | MAIN | WALL | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
31% |
51% |
18% |
| MEN |
30% |
53% |
17% |
| WOMEN |
32% |
49% |
19% |
| DEMOCRATS |
45% |
50% |
5%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
17% |
31% |
52%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
31% |
53% |
16%
|
OBAMA VOTERS WHO STAYED HOME
| QUESTION: Generally speaking do you think Barack Obama and Democrats in Washington, DC are delivering enough on the change Obama promised to bring to America during the campaign?
|
| | YES | NO | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
37% |
49% |
14% |
| MEN |
35% |
52% |
13% |
| WOMEN |
39% |
46% |
15%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
39% |
47% |
14%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
4% |
67% |
29%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
28% |
59% |
13%
|
| QUESTION: Generally speaking, do you think Democrats in Washington, DC are fighting hard enough to challenge the Republican policies of the Bush years, aren't fighting hard enough to change those policies, or are fighting about right?
|
| | NOT ENOUGH | TOO HARD | ABOUT RIGHT | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
39% |
12% |
25% |
24% |
| MEN |
36% |
16% |
23% |
25% |
| WOMEN |
42% |
8% |
27% |
23%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
41% |
10% |
26% |
23%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
5% |
43% |
3% |
49%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
32% |
25% |
18% |
25%
|
| QUESTION: Is the issue of national health care reform very important, somewhat important, or not important when deciding how or if to vote?
|
| | VERY | SOME | NOT | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
36% |
38% |
9% |
17% |
| MEN |
32% |
35% |
13% |
20%
|
| WOMEN |
40% |
41% |
5% |
14%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
38% |
40% |
7% |
15%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
14% |
16% |
29% |
41%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
26% |
28% |
18% |
28%
|
| QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform proposal recently passed by the U.S. Senate?
|
| | FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
34% |
43% |
23% |
| MEN |
32% |
46% |
22% |
| WOMEN |
36% |
40% |
24%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
36% |
41% |
23%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
7% |
71% |
22%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
21% |
55% |
24%
|
| QUESTION: If oppose, do you think it goes too far or doesn't go far enough?
|
| | |
| | NOT ENOUGH | TOO FAR | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
53% |
8% |
39% |
| MEN |
51% |
11% |
38% |
| WOMEN |
55% |
5% |
40%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
57% |
3% |
40%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
7% |
56% |
37%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
44% |
27% |
29%
|
| QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
|
| | FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
86% |
7% |
7% |
| MEN |
84% |
8% |
8%
|
| WOMEN |
88% |
6% |
6%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
88% |
6% |
6%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
63% |
22% |
15%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
78% |
14% |
8%
|
| QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose requiring all Americans to buy health insurance from private companies -- the so-called mandate -- even if they find insurance too expensive or do not want it?
|
| | FAVOR | OPPOSE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
33% |
55% |
12% |
| MEN |
32% |
57% |
11% |
| WOMEN |
34% |
53% |
13%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
35% |
53% |
12%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
8% |
79% |
13%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
19% |
69% |
12%
|
| QUESTION: Is the issue of the economy very important, somewhat important, or not important when deciding how or if to vote?
|
| | VERY | SOME | NOT VERY | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
45% |
44% |
5% |
6% |
| MEN |
46% |
46% |
5% |
3% |
| WOMEN |
44% |
42% |
5% |
9%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
45% |
44% |
5% |
6%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
38% |
39% |
8% |
15%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
46% |
48% |
3% |
3%
|
| QUESTION: Which candidate in Tuesday's special election for Senate did a better job of representing you and your family on economic issues: Republican Scott Brown or Democrat Martha Coakley ?
|
| | COAKLEY | BROWN | NEITHER
|
| ALL |
26% |
9% |
65%
|
| MEN |
23% |
11% |
66%
|
| WOMEN |
29% |
7% |
64%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
28% |
7% |
65%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
4% |
34% |
62%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
15% |
24% |
61%
|
| QUESTION: If the Democratic Congress passed a bill that laid down stronger rules of the road for Wall Street and cut bonuses for the executives of companies that received government bailouts, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote Democratic in the 2010 general election?
|
| | MORE | LESS | NO AFFECT
|
| ALL |
56% |
5% |
39% |
| MEN |
54% |
6% |
40% |
| WOMEN |
58% |
4% |
38%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
59% |
4% |
37%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
24% |
14% |
62%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
37% |
9% |
54%
|
| QUESTION: What would do more to improve our nation's economic conditions: Decreasing government spending OR tightening government regulation of Wall Street and corporate executives?
|
| | TIGHTEN | DECREASE | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
46% |
21% |
33%
|
| MEN |
44% |
24% |
32%
|
| WOMEN |
48% |
18% |
34%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
48% |
19% |
33%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
23% |
45% |
32%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
42% |
31% |
37%
|
QUESTION: Democrats in Washington are more on my side than on the side of the lobbyists and special interests, OR
Democrats in Washington are more on the side of the lobbyists and special interests than on the side of people like me.
|
| | LOBBYISTS | MY SIDE | NOT SURE |
| ALL |
44% |
29% |
27% |
| MEN |
47% |
27% |
26% |
| WOMEN |
41% |
31% |
28%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
43% |
30% |
27%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
56% |
7% |
37%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
52% |
24% |
24%
|
QUESTION: When Democrats took power, they really changed things in Washington, OR
When Democrats took power, they didn't change much about how Washington works.
|
| | NO CHANGE | CHANGE | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
41% |
31% |
28% |
| MEN |
44% |
29% |
27% |
| WOMEN |
38% |
33% |
29%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
40% |
32% |
28%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
55% |
8% |
37%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
48% |
27% |
25%
|
QUESTION: Democrats economic policy is more focused on helping Wall Street than helping Main Street, OR
Democrats' economic policy is more focused on helping Main Street than helping Wall Street.
|
| | MAIN | WALL | NOT SURE
|
| ALL |
38% |
37% |
25% |
| MEN |
40% |
40% |
20% |
| WOMEN |
36% |
34% |
30%
|
| DEMOCRATS |
40% |
36% |
24%
|
| REPUBLICANS |
17% |
39% |
44%
|
| INDEPENDENTS |
22% |
51% |
27%
|
