Research 2000 Missouri Poll

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    The Research 2000 Missouri Poll was conducted for the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for America and Credo Action from February 18 through February 20, 2010. A total of 600 likely general election voters in 2010 were interviewed statewide by telephone.

    Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

    The margin of error is 4%.

    (Research 2000 also does polling for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Lexington Herald-Leader, Fort Wayne News Sentinel, South Bend Tribune, and Reno Gazette-Journal, and dozens of other media outlets.)


    Men: 287 (48%)
    Women: 313 (52%)
    Democrats: 227 (38%)
    Republicans: 221 (37%)
    Independents: 152 (25%)
    White: 493 (82%)
    Black: 97 (16%)
    St. Louis City: 40 (7%)
    St. Louis Suburbs: 187 (31%)
    Kansas City: 127 (21%)
    North/Southeast: 100 (17%)
    Southwest: 146 (24%)
    Obama Voters: 276 (46%)


    • 57% support the public option, only 33% support current Senate bill without public option.
    • By 55% to 32%, Independent voters favor bill with public option over bipartisan bill.
    • By 4 to 1, Independent voters want McCaskill to fight harder for public option.
    • Over 70% of Independents support reconciliation on a good bill.
    • By 3 to 1, Independent voters in Missouri want McCaskill to fight for a public option in any reconciliation bill.
    QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill passed in December by the U.S. Senate?
    ALL 33%57%10%
    MEN 30%59%11%
    WOMEN 36%55%9%
    DEMOCRATS 63%24%13%
    REPUBLICANS 6%87%7%
    INDEPENDENTS 27%63%10%
    WHITE 30%61%9%
    BLACK 51%36%13%
    ST. LOUIS CITY 60%38%2%
    ST. LOUIS SUB 39%50%11%
    KANSAS CITY 36%52%12%
    NORTH/SE 26%64%10%
    SOUTHWEST 21%69%10%
    OBAMA VOTERS 55%30%15%
    QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of buying into a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
    ALL 57%35%8%
    MEN 54%37%9%
    WOMEN 60%33%7%
    DEMOCRATS 83%12%5%
    REPUBLICANS 32%60%8%
    INDEPENDENTS 56%33%11%
    WHITE 54%39%7%
    BLACK 75%14%11%
    ST. LOUIS CITY 84%14%2%
    ST. LOUIS SUB 63%28%9%
    KANSAS CITY 60%30%10%
    NORTH/SE 50%42%8%
    SOUTHWEST 45%47%8%
    OBAMA VOTERS 76%18%6%
    QUESTION: What do you believe private health insurance companies care about more: the health of patients, or making a profit?
    ALL 79%14%7%
    MEN 77%17%6%
    WOMEN 81%11%8%
    DEMOCRATS 86%7%7%
    REPUBLICANS 69%23%8%
    INDEPENDENTS 82%13%5%
    OBAMA VOTERS 80%5%15%
    QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Claire McCaskill is doing as a U.S. Senator?
    ALL 49%43%8%
    MEN 45%49%6%
    WOMEN 53%37%10%
    DEMOCRATS 76%17%7%
    REPUBLICANS 22%70%8%
    INDEPENDENTS 47%44%9%
    OBAMA VOTERS 61%25%14%
    QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Senator McCaskill is doing on health care?
    ALL 41%48%11%
    MEN 39%52%9%
    WOMEN 43%44%13%
    DEMOCRATS 59%29%12%
    REPUBLICANS 25%67%8%
    INDEPENDENTS 38%49%13%
    OBAMA VOTERS 44%40%16%
    QUESTION: Months ago, Senator McCaskill endorsed creating a public health insurance option that competes head-to-head with private insurance. Recently, she has not spoken much about it. Do you think McCaskill should fight harder for the public option?
    ALL 40%13%47%
    MEN 38%16%46%
    WOMEN 42%10%48%
    DEMOCRATS 71%8%21%
    REPUBLICANS 6%20%74%
    INDEPENDENTS 44%11%45%
    OBAMA VOTERS 59%13%28%
    QUESTION: The White House has announced that they will soon propose a revised health care plan to Congress. If Senator McCaskill calls on the White House to include a public option in their plan, will that make you respect her more, respect her less, or no change?
    ALL 33%13%54%
    MEN 31%16%53%
    WOMEN 35%10%55%
    DEMOCRATS 60%7%33%
    REPUBLICANS 5%21%74%
    INDEPENDENTS 33%11%56%
    OBAMA VOTERS 47%10%43%
    QUESTION: What would make you more likely to vote for Democrats in the 2010 elections: If they pass health care reform that includes a public health insurance option but gets zero Republican votes OR if they pass health care reform without a public option but with some Republican votes?
    ALL 49%36%15%
    MEN 45%40%15%
    WOMEN 53%32%15%
    DEMOCRATS 84%9%7%
    REPUBLICANS 9%66%25%
    INDEPENDENTS 55%32%13%
    OBAMA VOTERS 76%11%13%
    QUESTION: What comes closer to the lesson you think Democrats should learn from the recent Senate election in Massachusetts, where the seat formerly held by Ted Kennedy was won by a Republican: "Voters want Democrats to slow down and try to do less." OR, "Voters are upset about the slow pace of change - and will hold Democrats accountable if they refuse to use their power to fight special interests on behalf of regular people."
    ALL 42%36%22%
    MEN 38%39%23%
    WOMEN 46%33%21%
    DEMOCRATS 77%11%12%
    REPUBLICANS 6%68%26%
    INDEPENDENTS 42%27%31%
    OBAMA VOTERS 68%18%14%
    It's been widely reported that Democrats had well over a majority of the Senate committed to voting for a public health insurance option last year. But the public option was removed from consideration in an attempt to get a super-majority of 60 votes needed to overcome a Republican filibuster. Now, Senate Democrats will likely use a procedure called "reconciliation" -- which only needs a simple majority -- to pass the final elements of health care reform.
    QUESTION: If Senate Democrats use "reconciliation" to pass the final elements of health care reform with a simple majority, should Senator McCaskill fight to include a public health insurance option in the bill?
    ALL 37%15%48%
    MEN 35%19%46%
    WOMEN 39%11%50%
    DEMOCRATS 66%6%28%
    REPUBLICANS 6%27%67%
    INDEPENDENTS 38%12%50%
    OBAMA VOTERS 58%14%28%
    QUESTION: If the Senate passes a health care reform bill that you consider to be beneficial to your family, would you object to the Senate's use of "reconciliation" rules to pass that bill with a majority vote, or not?
    ALL 58%35%7%
    MEN 55%39%6%
    WOMEN 61%31%8%
    DEMOCRATS 86%9%5%
    REPUBLICANS 18%73%9%
    INDEPENDENTS 73%20%7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 73%12%15%