Research 2000 National State-by-State Polling

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    The Research 2000 Polls for NV, IL, WA, MO, VA, IA, MN, and CO were conducted for the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for America and Credo Action. A total of 600 likely general election voters in 2010 were interviewed in each state by telephone.

    Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of each state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

    The margin of error is 4%.

    (Research 2000 also does polling for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Lexington Herald-Leader, Fort Wayne News Sentinel, South Bend Tribune, and Reno Gazette-Journal, and dozens of other media outlets.)


    View the state polls:

    VOTERS WANT A PUBLIC HEALTH INSURANCE OPTION

    As covered in Washington Post Plumline: "Polls: In Key States, Public Option Far More Popular Than Senate Plan"

    What would make you more likely to vote for Democrats in the 2010 elections: If they pass health care reform that includes a public health insurance option but gets zero Republican votes OR if they pass health care reform without a public option but with some Republican votes?
    FIGHTBIPARTISANSHIPNOT SURE
    NEVADA (Reid)
    ALL 53% 40% 9%
    INDEPENDENTS 56% 33% 11%
    OBAMA VOTERS 77% 11% 12%
    ILLINOIS (Durbin, Burris)
    ALL 61% 30% 9%
    INDEPENDENTS 68% 25% 7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 79% 10% 11%
    WASHINGTON (Murray, Cantwell)
    ALL 61% 25% 14%
    INDEPENDENTS 69% 17% 14%
    OBAMA VOTERS 80% 8% 12%
    MISSOURI (McCaskill)
    ALL 49% 36% 15%
    INDEPENDENTS 55% 32% 13%
    OBAMA VOTERS 76% 11% 13%
    VIRGINIA (Webb, Warner)
    ALL 55% 33% 12%
    INDEPENDENTS 63% 32% 5%
    OBAMA VOTERS 81% 7% 12%
    IOWA (Harkin)
    ALL 58% 29% 13%
    INDEPENDENTS 67% 23% 10%
    OBAMA VOTERS 76% 11% 13%
    NORTH DAKOTA (Conrad, Dorgan)
    ALL 48% 38% 14%
    INDEPENDENTS 55% 29% 16%
    OBAMA VOTERS 73% 15% 12%
    MINNESOTA (Klobuchar, Franken)
    ALL 51% 39% 10%
    INDEPENDENTS 53% 37% 10%
    OBAMA VOTERS 75% 12% 13%
    COLORADO (Udall, Bennet)
    ALL 46% 43% 11%
    INDEPENDENTS 47% 38% 15%
    OBAMA VOTERS 75% 12% 13%

    MN and CO polls used slightly different language for this question: "Which do you think should be a higher priority for congressional Democrats right now – working in a bipartisan way with Republicans in Congress or fighting for policies that will benefit working families, even if those policies can only be passed with Democratic votes?"

    QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill passed in December by the U.S. Senate?
    FAVOROPPOSENOT SURE
    NEVADA (Reid)
    ALL 34% 58% 8%
    INDEPENDENTS 32% 61% 7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 46% 44% 10%
    ILLINOIS (Durbin, Burris)
    ALL 37% 53% 10%
    INDEPENDENTS 28% 61% 11%
    OBAMA VOTERS 51% 39% 10%
    WASHINGTON (Murray, Cantwell)
    ALL 38% 55% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 36% 56% 8%
    OBAMA VOTERS 53% 37% 10%
    MISSOURI (McCaskill)
    ALL 33% 57% 10%
    INDEPENDENTS 27% 63% 10%
    OBAMA VOTERS 55% 30% 15%
    VIRGINIA (Webb, Warner)
    ALL 36% 56% 8%
    INDEPENDENTS 31% 63% 6%
    OBAMA VOTERS 57% 29% 14%
    IOWA (Harkin)
    ALL 35% 56% 9%
    INDEPENDENTS 34% 62% 4%
    OBAMA VOTERS 51% 32% 17%
    NORTH DAKOTA (Conrad, Dorgan)
    ALL 31% 63% 6%
    INDEPENDENTS 29% 64% 7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 56% 33% 11%
    MINNESOTA (Klobuchar, Franken)
    ALL 35% 56% 9%
    INDEPENDENTS 28% 62% 10%
    OBAMA VOTERS 44% 43% 13%
    COLORADO (Udall, Bennet)
    ALL 32% 60% 8%
    INDEPENDENTS 27% 64% 9%
    OBAMA VOTERS 42% 46% 12%
    QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of buying into a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
    FAVOROPPOSENOT SURE
    NEVADA (Reid)
    ALL 56% 38% 6%
    INDEPENDENTS 61% 35% 4%
    OBAMA VOTERS 75% 13% 12%
    ILLINOIS (Durbin, Burris)
    ALL 68% 26% 6%
    INDEPENDENTS 69% 22% 9%
    OBAMA VOTERS 87% 6% 7%
    WASHINGTON (Murray, Cantwell)
    ALL 65% 28% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 67% 25% 8%
    OBAMA VOTERS 79% 11% 10%
    MISSOURI (McCaskill)
    ALL 57% 35% 8%
    INDEPENDENTS 56% 33% 11%
    OBAMA VOTERS 76% 18% 6%
    VIRGINIA (Webb, Warner)
    ALL 61% 32% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 62% 30% 8%
    OBAMA VOTERS 78% 15% 7%
    IOWA (Harkin)
    ALL 62% 31% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 61% 29% 10%
    OBAMA VOTERS 78% 14% 8%
    NORTH DAKOTA (Conrad, Dorgan)
    ALL 57% 35% 8%
    INDEPENDENTS 63% 33% 4%
    OBAMA VOTERS 74% 14% 12%
    MINNESOTA (Klobuchar, Franken)
    ALL 62% 33% 5%
    INDEPENDENTS 62% 32% 6%
    OBAMA VOTERS 82% 15% 3%
    COLORADO (Udall, Bennet)
    ALL 58% 36% 6%
    INDEPENDENTS 59% 34% 7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 78% 17% 5%
    QUESTION: What comes closer to the lesson you think Democrats should learn from the recent Senate election in Massachusetts, where the seat formerly held by Ted Kennedy was won by a Republican: "Voters want Democrats to slow down and try to do less." OR, "Voters are upset about the slow pace of change - and will hold Democrats accountable if they refuse to use their power to fight special interests on behalf of regular people."
    MORE CHANGESLOW CHANGENOT SURE
    NEVADA (Reid)
    ALL 56% 23% 21%
    INDEPENDENTS 37% 26% 37%
    OBAMA VOTERS 67% 22% 11%
    ILLINOIS (Durbin, Burris)
    ALL 54% 25% 21%
    INDEPENDENTS 57% 20% 23%
    OBAMA VOTERS 71% 13% 16%
    WASHINGTON (Murray, Cantwell)
    ALL 56% 23% 21%
    INDEPENDENTS 60% 17% 23%
    OBAMA VOTERS 77% 10% 13%
    MISSOURI (McCaskill)
    ALL 42% 36% 22%
    INDEPENDENTS 42% 27% 31%
    OBAMA VOTERS 68% 18% 14%
    VIRGINIA (Webb, Warner)
    ALL 43% 35% 22%
    INDEPENDENTS 41% 30% 29%
    OBAMA VOTERS 71% 11% 18%
    IOWA (Harkin)
    ALL 52% 28% 20%
    INDEPENDENTS 57% 24% 19%
    OBAMA VOTERS 70% 15% 15%
    NORTH DAKOTA (Conrad, Dorgan)
    ALL 39% 46% 15%
    INDEPENDENTS 38% 45% 17%
    OBAMA VOTERS 68% 21% 11%
    MINNESOTA (Klobuchar, Franken)
    ALL 46% 31% 23%
    INDEPENDENTS 43% 28% 29%
    OBAMA VOTERS 69% 18% 13%
    COLORADO (Udall, Bennet)
    ALL 41% 34% 25%
    INDEPENDENTS 39% 30% 31%
    OBAMA VOTERS 64% 22% 14%

    Reconciliation

    It's been widely reported that Democrats had well over a majority of the Senate committed to voting for a public health insurance option last year. But the public option was removed from consideration in an attempt to get a super-majority of 60 votes needed to overcome a Republican filibuster. Now, Senate Democrats will likely use a procedure called "reconciliation" – which only needs a simple majority – to pass the final elements of health care reform.
    QUESTION: If Senate Democrats use "reconciliation" to pass the final elements of health care reform with a simple majority, should [SENATOR] fight to include a public health insurance option in the bill?

    Note: The wording of this question in the Nevada poll specifically asked about Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, rather than "Senate Democrats".

    YESNONOT SURE
    NEVADA (Reid)
    ALL 52% 41% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 58% 33% 9%
    OBAMA VOTERS 73% 16% 11%
    ILLINOIS (Durbin)
    ALL 42% 7% 51%
    INDEPENDENTS 44% 6% 50%
    OBAMA VOTERS 58% 5% 37%
    WASHINGTON (Murray, Cantwell)
    ALL 44% 9% 47%
    INDEPENDENTS 48% 7% 45%
    OBAMA VOTERS 62% 9% 29%
    MISSOURI (McCaskill)
    ALL 37% 15% 48%
    INDEPENDENTS 38% 12% 50%
    OBAMA VOTERS 58% 14% 28%
    VIRGINIA (Webb, Warner)
    ALL 43% 14% 43%
    INDEPENDENTS 45% 11% 44%
    OBAMA VOTERS 63% 10% 27%
    IOWA (Harkin)
    ALL 39% 12% 49%
    INDEPENDENTS 40% 11% 49%
    OBAMA VOTERS 60% 8% 32%
    NORTH DAKOTA (Conrad, Dorgan)
    ALL 34% 21% 45%
    INDEPENDENTS 33% 20% 47%
    OBAMA VOTERS 64% 11% 25%
    If the Senate passes a health care reform bill that you consider to be beneficial to your family, would you object to the Senate's use of "reconciliation" rules to pass that bill with a majority vote, or not?
     NO OBJECTIONOBJECTNOT SURE
    NEVADA (Reid)
    ALL 55% 36% 9%
    INDEPENDENTS 64% 23% 13%
    OBAMA VOTERS 77% 10% 13%
    ILLINOIS (Durbin)
    ALL 67% 26% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 81% 17% 2%
    OBAMA VOTERS 80% 8% 12%
    WASHINGTON (Murray, Cantwell)
    ALL 65% 25% 10%
    INDEPENDENTS 76% 15% 9%
    OBAMA VOTERS 81% 9% 10%
    MISSOURI (McCaskill)
    ALL 58% 35% 7%
    INDEPENDENTS 73% 20% 7%
    OBAMA VOTERS 73% 12% 15%
    VIRGINIA (Webb, Warner)
    ALL 60% 32% 8%
    INDEPENDENTS 74% 17% 9%
    OBAMA VOTERS 76% 10% 14%
    IOWA (Harkin)
    ALL 66% 29% 5%
    INDEPENDENTS 83% 14% 3%
    OBAMA VOTERS 77% 13% 10%
    NORTH DAKOTA (Conrad, Dorgan)
    ALL 53% 36% 1%
    INDEPENDENTS 66% 20% 14%
    OBAMA VOTERS 78% 11% 11%